
The National Weather Service (NWS) is urging residents across the D.C. region to take Monday’s severe weather threat seriously after the Storm Prediction Center upgraded the area to a Moderate Risk, which is level 4 out of 5.
NWS forecasters say damaging winds, including gusts of 65-75 mph, and a few tornadoes, some of them potentially strong, are possible as a powerful system moves through the region. The Baltimore/Washington forecast office also says severe thunderstorms capable of producing significant damaging winds and tornadoes are expected with a strong cold front on Monday.
The latest outlook graphic from NWS Baltimore/Washington shows the region in the moderate risk zone, with the greatest concern centered on widespread damaging winds, along with a tornado threat, frequent lightning, and heavy downpours.
Timing posted by the NWS shows the highest threat for areas east of the Blue Ridge, including the D.C. metro area, between 4pm and 9pm Monday. The National Weather Service forecast for Washington also says thunderstorms are possible after 11am Monday and warns that some of the storms could be severe.
FOX5 meteorologist Mike Thomas said the setup is especially unusual for this region, noting that Washington has not been included in a Day 2 moderate risk for severe weather in more than a decade, dating back to June 12, 2013.
He also said Monday’s setup includes a 15% significant tornado risk and a 60% significant wind damage risk, underscoring how serious forecasters believe the threat could become. As he put it, this is not the kind of outlook the Storm Prediction Center issues lightly.



